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2024-12-14 11:25:51

The survey shows that the European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates for the fourth time this year to provide support for the economy, and the European Central Bank is bound to cut interest rates for the fourth time this year, loosening the troubled euro zone economy with the inflation rate approaching 2%. According to the survey, all the respondents except one analyst predicted that the European Central Bank would cut the deposit interest rate by 25 basis points to 3% again on Thursday. Only JPMorgan Chase is expected to cut interest rates by more than 50 basis points, believing that the recent data show that economic growth and inflation are weakening.Real estate stocks are active again and again. Huayuan Real Estate and Qixia Construction both have daily limit, while Huayuan Real Estate, Qixia Construction, Xinhualian and Xinhuangpu have daily limit, while Suzhou Gaoxin, China Wuyi and Shahe shares have followed suit.Traders' interest rate expectations for the European Central Bank remain stable: it is expected to cut interest rates by 127 basis points in 2025.


ECB: There is no pre-commitment to a specific interest rate path. The investment portfolio of the asset purchase plan declines at a controllable and predictable rate.The offshore RMB retreated against the US dollar, and now it is reported at 7.2700.On December 11th, it was reported that the U.S. government was divided over the U.S. steel acquisition, and Biden considered blocking the transaction. It was reported that the U.S. Department of Defense, the Ministry of Finance and the State Council all believed that the Japanese Steel Company's $15 billion acquisition of American steel companies would not bring national security risks, but U.S. President Biden was expected to block the transaction. Earlier, some media quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that Biden planned to block the acquisition of American steel companies later this month on the grounds of national security. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States has been reviewing the proposed acquisition for most of this year, and the group must submit its decision to Biden before December 22 or 23.


Enterprise IT Expenditure Survey: Google Cloud is expected to be the first choice for 50% of the respondents. Tae Kim, a science and technology columnist, wrote that according to a recent survey, Google Cloud has risen rapidly in the enterprise AI expenditure competition and may become the winner. According to the 2025 CIO survey released by Piper Sandler, 81 CIOs were asked about their budget priorities in different suppliers and technical fields. According to the survey, 87% of CIOs surveyed expect to increase the IT budget in 2025, which is the highest proportion of the survey since 2020. In this survey, the status of Google Cloud has risen significantly, surpassing Microsoft and OpenAI to become the "most strategic" AI supplier, with a support rate of 27%, a significant increase from 15% six months ago. Relatively speaking, Microsoft's support rate dropped from 33% to 24%. When asked which cloud company they plan to use to test or implement AI projects next year, 50% of the respondents chose Google Cloud, making it the top AI infrastructure provider. In addition, Harsh Kumar, a Piper semiconductor analyst, pointed out that these results are also beneficial to Invista, because all cloud companies are the main buyers of AI chips in NVIDIA. Kumar estimates that the entire AI chip market will have more than $500 billion in business opportunities by 2028.European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.German two-year bonds recovered their decline and the yield was flat at 1.95%.

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